Explore short and long hedge strategies with futures contracts to protect against price volatility, featuring practical examples, rolling hedges, and references to Canadian regulations.
Hedging is all about reducing the uncertainty in the price of something that’s important to your business operations or investment portfolio. It might be a crop you’ve harvested or a commodity you’re planning to buy. Regardless, the idea is to use futures (or sometimes other derivatives) to offset—or neutralize—unwanted price changes. Now, in case you’re wondering how that works, let’s break it down in plainer language.
Imagine you’re a farmer, and you’re constantly worried that a sudden drop in wheat prices might reduce the money you get for your harvest. Or maybe you’re the manager of a bakery, fretting that skyrocketing wheat prices could crush your profit margins. If you can relate to either case, then hedge strategies are right up your alley. In essence, hedging can be seen as placing a sort of “insurance bet” in the futures market. So let’s get into how these hedges are set up, the differences between short hedges and long hedges, and how they’re handled when trying to make them fit your specific timeline or exposure.
People hedge because they like stability—or at least less uncertainty—in their financial outcomes. For the wheat farmer, a rapid decline in the market price of wheat can make it harder to cover operating expenses. For the bakery, a price spike might reduce margins significantly and lead to more expensive bread. By employing a hedge through futures contracts on the Bourse de Montréal (or U.S. exchanges if that suits your commodity or instrument), each party can lock in future prices and sidestep those nasty surprises.
These strategies are not about making a “huge profit” on derivatives. In fact, from a purely profit-maximizing perspective, a hedge might feel a bit underwhelming at times. After all, it’s meant to reduce or offset potential losses caused by price fluctuations. If the market moves favorably in your spot position, well, the futures hedge may lose value, thus limiting your upside. But when you consider that it also protects your downside, you’ll often be grateful for having that cushion in place.
Let’s start with the short hedge, sometimes known as the selling hedge. This is a hedge taken by someone who already owns or expects to own a physical asset and is worried about that asset losing value in the marketplace. The typical example is a farmer with a crop in the field—or any commodity player who holds an inventory of raw materials.
• Implementation: You’d open a short (sell) position in the futures contract that closely matches your timeline and the asset you’re holding.
• Goal: Protect against declining spot prices.
• Outcome: If the spot price of your commodity falls, the short futures position should theoretically gain value, offsetting the lower price you’ll get in the cash market for your physical commodity.
A friend of mine once worked for a mid-sized soybean processor. (Yes, I used to tease him about all the soy in his life—soy candles, soy milk, who knows what else!) Anyway, he was telling me about times when soybean prices suddenly tanked. That’s obviously terrible if you have a warehouse full of beans. But by implementing a short hedge, the processor locked in a higher price on part of its production. So even though the cash market looked grim, the gains on futures helped balance the books.
Keep in mind, the perfect alignment of gains and losses in a hedge rarely happens because your real-world product might not be a perfect match for the futures contract specs. That mismatch is known as basis risk. If you’re storing organic soybeans but the exchange-traded futures contract is for standard soybeans, there can be variance in how price changes correlate. But hey, any correlation is better than none when it comes to smoothing out that volatility.
On the flip side, we’ve got the long hedge, or the buying hedge. These hedges are typically put in place by companies or individuals worried about rising prices for something they plan to purchase in the future. Think about that bakery racing around to lock in sugar or wheat prices. A friend of mine who bakes for a living once told me how nerve-racking it is when wheat prices start ticking upward. You get that panicky feeling: “Should I buy a massive stock of wheat flour now, or is that too risky?”
• Implementation: Go long, i.e., buy futures contracts.
• Goal: Protect yourself from rising spot prices by locking in an acceptable purchase price.
• Outcome: If the spot price of your commodity goes up, the long futures position should gain value. Thus, if you end up paying more in the cash market, the futures gains help offset those extra costs.
Of course, if the price of wheat doesn’t rise—maybe it even falls—then your bakery’s hedge will lose value on the futures side. But at least you’ll presumably pay less in the cash market, so there’s a trade-off. The important part is that the hedge eliminates the worst-case scenario of a potentially crippling price jump.
Both short and long hedges sound simple in theory, but in practice, people add all sorts of nuances. You have to pick:
• A specific delivery month that closely matches your exposure.
• The most appropriate underlying asset that correlates with your real exposure.
• The right number of contracts to properly size your hedge.
If you’re a metals manufacturer worried about the price of aluminum in three months, you’ll look at aluminum futures that expire around that time frame. Maybe you also consider if your aluminum is of a particular grade that differs slightly from the standard contract deliverable. So you might face some basis risk. The key is: the higher the correlation between your futures and your actual asset or liability, the more effective the hedge.
Additionally, the number of contracts matters. In a perfect world, you’d hedge exactly one-to-one. If you need to purchase 10,000 bushels of corn, and each futures contract covers 5,000 bushels, you might buy two futures contracts. But life is rarely so neat. Maybe your actual need is 8,700 bushels, so what do you do with that mismatch? Often, hedgers must approximate. Also, be mindful of margin requirements—you’ll be posting margin to the clearinghouse, so plan for that cash flow.
Some firms opt to get fancier. It’s not always a straightforward buy-five-or-sell-five scenario. They might combine futures with put options, for instance, to create a “collar” strategy that limits the range of possible upside or downside. Or they might take partial positions in a couple of different futures contracts if their time horizon spans multiple delivery months.
Yes, it can get complicated very quickly, but the main takeaway is: you adapt your hedge to your specific risk, rather than the other way around.
Now, if the worry extends beyond the closest futures expiry, or if you have an ongoing need to hedge, you might use what’s called a rolling hedge. Basically, you hedge with the earliest futures contract, and then when that contract nears expiration, you exit it and simultaneously enter a later-dated contract. This process is repeated until your underlying exposure is finished.
One of my old coworkers from a large agribusiness used to joke: “Hedging is a game of keep-it-going.” They purchased lots of raw corn for feed, but their harvest windows and usage patterns didn’t always line up with futures expirations. Instead of a single discrete hedge, they “rolled” their positions from one delivery month to the next, carefully trying to manage the cost of carry and to maintain consistent coverage.
Rolling does come with some additional transaction costs and complexities. You’re effectively disposing of your front-month futures position (either buying back or selling the hedge) and establishing a new position in a future month. The price difference between these months—and the liquidity at that time—can make or break your strategy’s cost effectiveness.
No hedge is perfect. Basis risk (the difference between the futures price and your actual commodity’s or instrument’s price) still lingers. For instance, your local wheat might trade at a premium or discount to the exchange’s standardized wheat contract. Or, in financial terms, maybe you’re hedging an overseas interest rate exposure, but the futures contract is tied to a Canadian benchmark interest rate. Imperfect correlation is just a reality; the trick is to choose the best available solution and keep a close eye on any misalignment.
In Canada, hedgers need to comply with guidelines set by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO). If you’re setting up or carrying futures positions, you’ll want to check:
• CIRO’s guidelines on position limits and trade reporting obligations. These ensure no single participant can accumulate a dangerously large position and also maintain market transparency. Visit CIRO for the most up-to-date rules.
• Commodity futures information at the Bourse de Montréal (sometimes referred to as the Montréal Exchange or MX). Their website at https://www.m-x.ca/en/ provides all sorts of contract specifications, margin requirements, and educational resources.
• Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) for “AgriCommodity Hedging” resources at https://agriculture.canada.ca. That’s especially handy if you’re a producer wanting to sharpen your hedging game.
CIRO took over from the historical SROs (IIROC and MFDA) as of 2023, so you might still see references to those older bodies. Don’t let that confuse you; just remember that as of now, the relevant self-regulatory organization is CIRO.
Let’s take a down-to-earth example. Suppose you’re a canola farmer in Alberta. It’s early spring, and you’ve planted your canola crop. You worry that by harvest time in the fall, canola prices might tank, leaving you with smaller revenues than you need. So you decide to execute a short hedge:
This example might be simplified. In reality, you’ll see basis adjustments, and you’ll have to carefully track your margin requirements. But the principle stands: the short hedge aims to protect your downside.
Now for a long hedge example. Suppose you own a local bakery that uses 1,000 bushels of wheat monthly. You’re concerned that wheat prices might jump just before the big holiday baking season. You decide to buy wheat futures:
Again, you’ve locked in a price close to $5.00, so you sleep easier at night.
• Keep an eye on margin calls: Because these are futures, changes in price will require you to post additional margin if the market moves against you.
• Don’t over-hedge: Hedging 100% of your production or needs can sometimes be too restrictive. Some companies prefer partial hedges to maintain some flexibility.
• Understand the “roll” process: If your exposure lasts longer than a single contract, plan out how and when you’ll roll your positions and consider the costs and slippage in that process.
• Monitor basis risk: Stay aware of how the futures and cash markets move in tandem (or fail to). That difference can impact your final results.
• Document everything: For compliance with CIRO (and for your own clarity), keep thorough records of your hedge rationale, positions, adjustments, and terms. If regulators inquire or if you need to assess your strategy’s effectiveness, you’ll have the data handy.
Below is a simple flowchart illustrating how you might implement and manage a futures hedge. It’s intentionally generic, so keep your actual circumstance in mind:
flowchart LR A["Start<br/>Identify Risk Exposure"] --> B["Choose Hedge Type<br/>Short or Long Hedge"] B --> C["Implement Hedge<br/>with Futures Contracts"] C --> D["Monitor Market<br/>Adjust or Roll Hedge"] D --> E["Close Hedge<br/>Evaluate Outcome"]
This visual shows the typical progression: (1) figure out your risk, (2) pick a hedge strategy, (3) put it on, (4) keep watch and decide if/when to roll it, and (5) ultimately unwind and see how it worked out.
• CIRO Rule Book – Derivatives Section: https://www.ciro.ca
• Bourse de Montréal for contract specs, educational materials, and margin requirements: https://www.m-x.ca/en/
• Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC): https://agriculture.canada.ca
• Canadian Securities Institute for courses such as “Derivatives Fundamentals and Options Licensing Course” and more in-depth educational content.
At the end of it all, remember that hedging is about mitigating risk, not eradicating it entirely—markets can surprise you no matter how prepared you think you are. But by setting up a short or long hedge, you can focus more energy on running your business or portfolio with a little less worry about where prices are headed next.